A game of chess?

 

A game of chess?

Image courtesy Wikimedia Commons

Is politics a game of chess, or it is a guessing game? It shouldn’t be a game at all, of course, but it provides material for discussion.

There was a clever cartoon by Ella Baron in The Times this morning, so clever that I had to read the comments to understand it! Nothing unusual there.

I have not reproduced it here, as I don’t want to infringe copyright.

It was a satirical comment on the latest unsuccessful talks between the US and Iran, and showed J.D. Vance and his team facing Iranian negotiators across a table. Vance is holding a handful of playing cards, interestingly all showing Kings, and declaring, ‘We have all the cards.’ Their opponents have a chess board in front of them, so the two sides are not even playing the same game, which is a telling point. The Iranian spokesman is saying, ‘Checkmate,’ even though the chess position is not showing that.

‘Checkmate’ is a corruption of the Persian phrase. ‘Shah Mat,’ meaning ‘The King is dead.’

Developments

 

Developments

Things are moving fast in the USA. It looks as though the administration is about to be overhauled and some elements removed and potentially imprisoned, Pam Bondi, for one.

One of the most astonishing things is that Trump is set to sue the Treasury for $10 billion dollars, to compensate him for the distress caused by the leaking of his tax return information. Extraordinary! American presidents are expected to declare their tax returns and always have done so. Trump’s naked greed is rampant.

Watching the breaking news on Thursday evening, I expected to see it making headlines in all the papers and news outlets on Friday morning. It didn’t. I began to think I had imagined it.

I note that more Epstein files have been released. The cynic would suggest that such a release is a means to distract attention from current events. Will the 25^th Amendment be invoked, or will Trump survive to stumble and ramble through another day, week, month, year?

Great Britain’s politics pale by comparison and seem very parochial. We seem to be grateful to be acknowledged by more influential countries as they continue their rise to the pinnacle. Our time in the spotlight has passed.

Summer holiday

 

Summer holiday

                                    Image courtesy Wikimedia Commons

It’s lovely to live in an attractive part of the world, though it can be a disadvantage if hordes descend upon it for their summer holiday. Generally, it’s the coastal regions that spring to mind, but there are other bucolic areas that attract holidaymakers.

I have no wish to mention the name of one particular American visitor to the unspoilt loveliness of the Cotswolds. He has as much right as anyone to a vacation, though I understand he has had several already since being appointed to his role as 2iC USA. He and his family and a large cohort of security ‘people’ have descended upon Dean, a picturesque hamlet in Oxfordshire. It and its environs are home to many slebs, including Jeremy Clarkson, David Beckham, Ellen DeGeneres, and former Prime Minister David Cameron. The locals are accustomed to seeing ‘famous’ faces and are unfazed by them.

However, 2iC’s advent has caused enormous disruption in the area, with public access being closed and local residents having to prove their identity as they attempt to go about their daily lives. Though it may only be for a few days, it has drawn attention to 2iC in a quite remarkable way, inflating his profile, as he travels from A to B in his 29-vehicle motorcade.

To put it into some sort of perspective, 1iC, the Orange One, has a circus of forty or fifty vehicles. Putin has around twelve vehicles and Xi Jinping about ten (in China) The French President has three to five vehicles, while the German Chancellor has around six. The Japanese Emperor has three to five vehicles, and the Dutch Prime Minister has one of two, or perhaps a bicycle.

As the UK Prime Minister fulfils his                                                                                 duties, his motorcade consists of four to six vehicles, though that number may increase for high-risk situations or state visits.

Meanwhile a typical Royal motorcade would involve between three and six vehicles, with more for state occasions and visits.

The question that comes all too readily to mind is whether 2iC is practising for a more significant role in the future?

Image courtesy Wikimedia Commons

Starship 5

 

Starship Flight Test 5

                                        Image courtesy Wikimedia Commons

On Sunday, we watched the launch of Starship 5 from SpaceX Starbase in Boca Chica in Texas. It was as spectacular as such things always are. The really impressive and innovative part of the test flight was the recovery of the Super Heavy rocket booster. It travelled back to the launch site and was captured by huge metal arms, called ‘chopsticks’ which prevented it from a hard landing. The objective is to use the Super Heavy rocket booster in future launches.

The spacecraft landed in the ocean and will not be recovered. Further tests will practise landing spacecraft on dry land.

Starship is destined to land US astronauts on the moon in 2026 in an ongoing bid to create a permanent settlement on the moon. This would then be the first stage in the development of further settlements in deep space. The USA and China are engaged in a race to become the first deep space settlement pioneers.

What were you thinking, David – or were you?

It was with great surprise and some fury that the British public, along with many of their Commonwealth and former Commonwealth members, heard David Cameron declare that Great Britain was the 'junior partner' of the USA in fighting Germany in 1940. He seemed to be unaware, or perhaps had 'forgotten' that the US remained neutral until Germany and Japan declared war on it in December 1941 following the attack on Pearl Harbour. The US had supplied the UK as well as the Soviet Union, China, France and other Allied nations
with war materials from March 1941 until 1945 through the 'Lend-Lease' law. The UK finally redeemed its debt in 2006.
Nicholas Soames, grandson of Sir Winston Churchill, defended the Prime Minister's remarks, intimating that he had been misunderstood, but compounded the insult by omitting to mention the UK's allies. His grandfather must have groaned and pirouetted in his grave!
At the beginning of World War II Great Britain was indeed a 'junior partner' – but to France which had one of the biggest armies in the world. France had 86 divisions, Germany 78, while Britain had 9 and the US just 8.
After July 1940 Britain and the Commonwealth stood against Germany until Russia entered the war in July 1941. Forces from several defeated European countries escaped to UK to continue the fight – Albanian, Dutch, French, Polish, Norwegian, Belgian, Czechoslovakian to name but a few.
Russia entered the war five months before the US and arguably was a far bigger partner than the US in defeating Germany. Russia inflicted many more military casualties on the Germans than the US. Russia had the biggest army at the end of the war with 491 divisions while the US reached 94 including those also deployed in the Pacific. The sheer size of the Russian army was at the heart of the eventual German defeat.
The first important German reversal was in the Battle of Britain in 1940.
The first major land defeats of Germany were by British and Commonwealth troops at El Alamein in 1942 and by the Russians at Stalingrad in 1943.
More British and Commonwealth than US troops landed in Normandy in 1944. The RAF had many more fighters than the USAF for D Day (2172 versus 1311). The Royal Navy was the senior partner at Normandy, providing the majority of warships.
The biggest defeat the Japanese army faced was in Burma at the hands of the British and Commonwealth (especially Indian) armies.
Throughout the war the RAF was bigger than the USAF in Europe facing Germany. In June 1942 there were 9500 British aircraft and no US aircraft. A year later Britain had 12700 and the US 5000. Even towards the end of the war Britain still had the larger force with 14500 while the US had 12200.
When military deaths are brought into the equation, Russia suffered the greatest number of fatalities, followed by Britain and the Commonwealth, with the US suffering the fewest. As a proportion of population the British suffered three times the military deaths of the US.
Britain also sustained far more major warship losses than the US (260 versus 157)
Finally, Britain suffered significant civilian casualties and the US did not.
David Cameron and Nicholas Soames were both expensively educated at Eton (current basic fees are around £30,000 per annum). Is this venerable institute not able to employ effective History teachers or is it simply the case that David (and Nicholas before him) were not paying attention during lessons?
In spite of Hollywood reworkings of historical events much of the statistical evidence aforementioned has come from US Government sources, which are both remarkably accurate and well-informed.